Demographic Forecasting - Federico Girosi,Gary King
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"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the be ... Full description
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Description
"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the best alternatives available. The techniques have wide applicability."--Germán RodrÃguez, Princeton University
"This book is excellent and important."--Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley
More Information
| Author | Federico Girosi, Gary King |
|---|---|
| Publisher | Princeton University Press |
| Release year | 2008 |
| Cover type | Softcover |
| EAN | 9780691130958 |